Arkansas and Florida match evenly and should be ready for another defensive war, but the advantages in rebounding and free-throw shooting can give Arkansas what they need to secure a win on the road—as our college basketball preview shows.
The Arkansas Razorbacks are looking for their 12th win in their last 13 games when they visit the Florida Gators on Tuesday night.
But the Gators entered the game with some confidence after beating 3-ranked Auburn last time out. Gamemakers love their chances to keep rolling in the swamp with this toy that sits close to Pick’em. So, can they claim a second big win in as many matches by beating the Razorbacks?
Find out in our free college basketball betting picks and predictions for the Arkansas vs Florida game on February 22nd.
Arkansas vs Florida odds
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The Gators opened this SEC game as underdogs on their home ground by one point, but rebounded a bit to 1.5. Since then, Florida money has started to come in as some picks are starting to come in.
On the other hand, the total saw some good action. It opened at 135.5, went up to 137.5, and is now as low as 134.5 in some stores.
Use the live odds tool above to track any future streak moves live until you receive a tip and be sure to check the entire college basketball odds before placing your bets.
Arkansas vs Florida predictions
The predictions were made on 2/22/2022 at 2:00 PM ET.
Click on each prediction to go to the full analysis.
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Arkansas vs Florida game info
• Location: Exactech Arena, Gainesville, FL
• HistoryTuesday, February 22, 2022
• Warning: 7:00 p.m. Eastern time
• television: ESPN2
Arkansas Florida betting preview
Arkansas: No major injuries to report.
Florida: No major injuries to report.
Find the latest NCAA basketball injury reports.
Betting direction to know
The Under is 4-0 in Arkansas’ last four games when it faces a team with a winning streak record and 6-0 in Florida’s last six games overall. Find out more about NCAA betting trends between Arkansas and Florida.
Arkansas vs Florida picks and predictions
Our predictions are compiled from spread and total analysis and are indications of where we’re headed in this game.
Our best bet is the play we love the most in this game, and we’ll be putting some of our money behind.
The Arkansas team has been arguably the hottest in the country with wins in 11 of its last 12 games, and the Pigs have been a profitable cow during this period, racking up 11-1 ATS.
Meanwhile, the Gators took a much-needed win over Auburn, defeating the Tigers 63-62 to become a 3.5-point domestic dog. The win cut a streak as they failed to cover the difference in five consecutive games.
But Florida was much better at moving the ball at home which results in a better look from the depths. He played that beautifully in the game against Auburn as they shot 40% from a 3-point range. Unfortunately, the Gators haven’t done that consistently this season and have only shot 30.5% from depths for the season.
The match with Arkansas will not help with that.
The Razorbacks are a high-octane team that tries to get as many shots as possible while pursuing them at the defensive end of the ground. Arkansas ranks 17th in adjusted defensive efficiency per KenPom while ranks 24th in adjusted cadence.
Pigs should also have a large rim on the glass. Arkansas ranks 26th in the country in total recovery while Florida comes in at 224th. So, there must be a lot of second chance chances for the Razorbacks in this one.
The cherry on top here is that Arkansas is the best free throw team. Something to look at in a game this close. On top of that, Florida has been a basically bad bet since the beginning of December. While Florida has some tools to slow down Arkansas’ pace, it’s hard to weaken a hot team with better defense.
prediction: Arkansas Beckham (-110)
Covers NCAA basketball betting analysis
Over / Under Analysis
Seeing the action in total for this game is definitely interesting. While the initial money came in The Over, since then it’s all been under money and we’ve been leaning toward the latter.
For starters, while Arkansas love to go out and run, they tend to play at their opponents’ pace that you could see in their 58-48 win over Tennessee. Additionally, the Razorbacks average 66 points per game over the last five points.
And Florida knows that if it wants to win this game, it will need to slow this game down and grind its holdings into the mid-zone. That’s perfectly fine with the Gators who ranked 288th in the adjusted cadence, but they’ll also need to hit some threes as well. This would require a lot against Hogs’ defense which allows opponents to fire only 32.3% from depth.
This game has defensive battle written all over.
prediction: under 135.5 (-110)
The Gators get an interesting team total in this match of 66.5. They average 69.7 points per game this season, but that number has fallen to 62.8 over their last 10 games (in regulation) and only exceeded that number three times during that time.
Meanwhile, the Razorbacks have only allowed opponents to break that number three times (in regulation) in the last 12 games.
With a predictable slower pace and the Razorbacks’ ability to make life on the ocean difficult for Gators, it’s hard to see Florida beating that number tonight.
pick or pickFlorida team total under 66.5 (-110)
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