Expect a defensive struggle in Music City (March 19)

Maple Leaves vs. Predatory Odds

Maple leaf odds -120
predatory odds +100
Above under 6 (-120 / +100)
time 7 p.m. Eastern time
television ESPN +
Chances are via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NHL Odds here.

The Toronto Maple Leafs, the third-placed in the Atlantic League, travel to Tennessee to take on the fourth-placed Nashville Predators in the Central Division for a National Hockey League showdown on Saturday.

This is the second meeting between these teams, as the Maple Leafs won the first game in the closing match 3-0 back in November.

So, will we see another low-scoring competition or should we expect more goals among these franchises that feature good strikers?

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs enter this two-game winning streak of winning streak as they find new life in the net in the form of Erik Kallgren. The goalkeeper is a sure key player for Toronto and will try to keep the momentum going.

In his two games this season, Calgren is 2-0 with an impressive 0.972 save percentage. While this number is clearly unsustainable, Kallgren enters this game with confidence in the world and must continue his fantastic play between the pipes as he strives to be a match starter.

In each of Calgren’s two games, the total stayed under six goals. While most of the attention goes to Auston Matthews and his cohorts, Toronto’s defense has actually been pretty solid up to this point.

The Toronto Blues held their own, currently ranked 11th in the league in 5 goals to 5 goals per 60 minutes and ninth in average expected goal value for opposing 5-on-5 shot attempts.

Nashville Predators

The Predators emerge from Thursday’s road loss to the Philadelphia Flyers. However, it looks like Nashville will bounce back from the tough Toronto side.

Nashville will need a fine performance from expected base guard Guus Sarros, someone who usually shines as he plays at home. This season, Sarros’ save ratio jumped to a fatal 0.931 when he played at Bridgestone Arena.

This statistic should come as no surprise to those who followed Sarros, as he now ranks 8th among the top goalkeepers at 5 goals to 5 goals saved above expected per 60 minutes. Six or fewer goals have been scored in eight of their last 10 home matches.

Like Calgren in Toronto, Sarros also benefited from having a solid defense in front of him. This season, Nashville is seventh in the league with 5 goals to 5 for every 60 minutes.

Maple Leafs against predators

I’m riding with hot goalkeepers to continue it in this meeting. This will be a play that you have to endure to follow along as both offenses are capable of lighting the flashlight.

However, I like the price we get for less than six goals.

Trends support this play and defensive metrics as well, so I’ll support less than the overall in this match.

picking Total under 6 goals (-120)

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