Fantasy baseball concession wire: Luke Voit and Spencer Strider among this week’s top goals

Last week’s bidding spree on leads (and Rowdy Tellez) may have been the closest to FABapalooza this season, but one customer was called too late to include it in last week’s column. The Diamondbacks promoted Alek Thomas last Sunday, and while he’s been the target of some huge FAB performances, he’s still widely available in the 12-team leagues and potentially in some deep leagues as well. The 22-year-old made a great start to his major league career, scoring 5 to 13 (.385) with a home run and two doubles in his first four games. In the juniors, Thomas showed impressive board skills with strength, and last season, this resulted in a combined .313/.394/.559 slash in Double-A Amarillo and Triple-A Reno. He counted 28 stolen bases between 2019 and 2021, but given that it took 48 attempts to get them, we shouldn’t count on Thomas to be a heist factor with the Diamondbacks.

Thomas has started both Diamondbacks games since his promotion, and there are no obvious play-time hurdles for the foreseeable future. He probably won’t produce as much power as Juan Ypez or realize the higher batting average that Jose Miranda has (despite his current .128 batting average), but Thomas is still worth bidding at 1 to 2 percent of the total. Budget your FAB in 12 teams and 5 to 6 percent in the deeper leagues where it’s still available.

Even though this week’s set of FAB goals doesn’t get the attention it saw last week, there are still many players worth keeping an eye on. Check them out!

Luke Voigt, 1b, SDG: Voight returned from his stint at IL with a biceps injury on Tuesday, and given his duet performances on Wednesday against the Cubs, it seems fair to assume he’s healthy. Even with these home runs, the Voit slash is frustrating .184/.349/.327. His hit rate should be up, given his 15.6 percent run rating feels like a small artifact, and an average exit speed of 96.9mph on flyballs and line engines (EV FB/LD) shows he still has plenty of power. It’s mostly unavailable in the deep leagues, but it was dropped in one of mine, so it’s worth taking a minute to check your concessions in just about any league.

Bidding: 2 to 3 percent on 12 teams, 6 to 7 percent on 15 teams.

Brandon Drury, 2B / 3B / OF, CIN: Drury has been a strong hitter in the past, particularly during his time with the Diamondbacks and Blue Jays, but he hasn’t played much in the past two seasons. Now Drury’s got a home place where average power can translate into big power numbers. Not only does he get a chance to play every day and sit second in the Reds squad, but Drury makes the most of his power while posting a ball rate (39.7 per cent) which is seven percentage points below his career average. As long as Drury keeps hitting (which he was doing with an average of 0.253 and six home runs – good for 138 wRC+), there could be a place in the lineup even when Jonathan India (hamstring) returns.

Bidding: 2 to 3 percent on 12 teams, 5 to 6 percent on 15 teams.

Josh Naylor 1B/OF, CLE: Naylor has smashed three of his buddies in the previous two games, so if he keeps swinging the hot bats in Minnesota this weekend, you have to imagine it could take a big try to put him through the FAB on Sunday. I’m a little skeptical about his ability to come to power in the long term given that he’s never been a strong player, except for a partial Pacific Coast League season during 2019 – the year of Rabbit Ball. Then again, Naylor has backed up his 0.264 ISO this season with a 97.7 mph EV FB/LD, and at 24, he could come on his own as a more complete hitter. Naylor shouldn’t deserve an appraisal of the amount of offers made to Yepez and Tellez last weekend, but he’s still worth pursuing in the 12-team leagues where he’s still available.

Bids: 3 to 4 percent in 12-team leagues.

Manuel Margot, TB: Even having missed the previous two games with a hamstring injury, Margot is one of the most added players in the ESPN and CBS leagues, thanks to an active nine-game hit streak. He hit the .484 on his home run and four stolen bases during the streak, but when the dust wears off, Margot can still steal another 15 bases with 10 more homeowners remaining on the road. If you need steals and position doesn’t matter, Margot is a better choice than Andrés Giménez, as it should hit a higher average and possibly more power.

Bidding: 2 to 3 percent in 12-team leagues.

Vidal Bruján, 2B, TB: Over the past two seasons, Rays didn’t have much chance of staying in the squad, amassing just 37 games. It remains to be seen if he will get a greater chance this time around. Even if he continues, you’re not looking for Bruján to save a lot of power, but he’s a potential steal base source (44 steals with Triple-A Durham last season and six so far this year) that’s still available in many deep leagues.

Bidding: 2 to 3 percent in 15-team leagues.

Andrew Velasquez, SS, LAA: Even more so than Bruján, Velazquez is essentially a one-class contributor, but he was already faring in that category. After emerging as the usual short guy for the Angels, he’s 5 vs. 5 in loot base attempts. While it doesn’t provide much power yet, Velazquez won’t necessarily be a drag on your overall roster run. He made seven home runs in 306 games with Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre last season, and so far with the Angels this season, he has a 96.9 mph EV FB/LD.

Bidding: 1 to 2% in 15 teams.

bin jameel pit: Every week in my 15-team leagues I see Jamal listed as free agents, and every week I ignore him. That’s partly because, even when he was at his best during the Mariners years, you can’t count on Gamel for much imagination, other than a decent batting average and OBP. It’s also partly because he’s now a pirate, and I knew there wouldn’t be much in the way of running to produce chances in that squad. The Buccaneers weren’t as bad as I expected, ranking middle of the group in wOBA and strike rate. Gamel has had a successful career-low 18.3 percent average, and if he keeps it up and continues to reach the top of the lineup as he’s been doing lately, he could obliterate his career high of 68 runs. Even in the deep leagues, Gamel isn’t for everyone, but if you need help hitting medium and sprinting, it’s a great addition.

Bidding: 1 to 2% in 15 teams.

Jonah Heim, C, TX: Heim has been a popular add-on for the past week, and why not? He’s a 7th rank catcher in a 5×5 Roto (per FanGraphs auction calculator), and with Mitch Garver (the crank) out there’s extra playing time and a higher place in the batting order. Heim’s playing time can wane in a few weeks when Garver gets back behind the board, but if Heim can keep his strike rate low (his 8.6 percent rate is the fourth-lowest for hitters with at least 50 boards showing), he must maintain value in two leagues.

Bidding: 0 to 1 percent in single-hunting patrols, and 3 to 4 percent in hunting patrols.

Red Dettmers, SP, LAA: Just because Detmers no-hit the Rays is on Tuesday doesn’t necessarily mean that managers will be placing huge bids on it this Sunday. It simply doesn’t swing and miss, as 7.9 percent of SwStr% is the tenth lowest among 74 shooters with at least 30 rounds. However, it does a number of things well, including taking calls (at 18.0 percent rate) and avoiding difficult air contact (89.9 mph EV FB/LD). With his next scheduled starts coming up against Rangers (although on separate weeks), Detimers has some oomph as a short-term streamer, if nothing else.

Bidding: 0 to 1 percent in 12-team leagues. 3 to 4 percent in 15-team leagues.

Chase Selseth, SP LAA: The 21-year-old will make his league debut Friday night in Oakland, less than a year after being drafted into Round 11 of the University of Arizona. This will be Celsyth’s eighth professional start, with the first of all seven coming in at Double-A Rocket City. It’s too soon to tell if the former Trash Panda can approach the minor leagues of the season (37 hits with 1.73 ERA in 26 innings) on his debut or if he’ll stay in the Angels rotation. Depending on what happens on Friday night, you might want to drop Silseth in this weekend’s bidding, or you might want to at least add him in the 15-team leagues if he does well.

Bidding: At most, 1 to 2 percent in 15-team leagues.

Kyle Pradesh, SP, PAL: Pradesh has been solid during its first three major league games, probably better than its 4.24 ERA suggests. SIERA (3.17) and xFIP (3.35) take into account his 67.6 percent lead rate, and he should confine a larger percentage of his key players in the upcoming start week. Taking on the Yankees and Rice at home won’t be easy, but Bradish is an option to consider in the 12-team leagues.

Bidding: 2 to 3 percent on 12 teams, 5 to 6 percent on 15 teams.

Dunning, SP, TEX: Dunning is hardly on a list outside of the deep leagues. He misses the bat and gets on the ground – a combination that makes him worth adding in the 12-team leagues. In addition to Dunning, here are all shooters with at least 30 rounds with a CSW of at least 29% and a globe average of at least 50%: Shane McClanahan, Paul Blackburn, Aaron Nola, Logan Webb and Max Fried. Not a bad group. His teammate, Martin Perez, is getting more attention at the moment, thanks to a stunning four-point run, but Dunning is a better long-term bet.

Bidding: 1 to 2 percent in 12-team leagues.

Ryan Bibiot, SP, LAD: Pepiot was demoted back to Triple-A Oklahoma City after making his major league debut on Wednesday against the Pirates. Despite throwing three innings without goals, Pepiot’s five tracks and 27.3% Zone% were worrisome. He could start one of the Dodgers’ doubles on Tuesday against the Diamondbacks, and Clayton Kershaw’s move to IL with a pelvic injury could open up a longer chance of staying in the rotation. With Pepiot struggling on his debut, it may not take as much to win the bidding on him as it would have otherwise, and he could still come in handy over the course of the season.

Bidding: 1-2% in 12 teams, 4-5% in 15 teams.

Spencer Strider, RP, ATL: Strider was impressive at relief during the first five weeks of the season, and his two previous matches were particularly strong. In throwing a 7.2 goalless innings against the Brewers and Rangers, with 13 strikes and one walk, he makes a case for moving into the spin. If it’s still available, it’s time to include it on your list.

Bidding: 2 to 3 percent on 12 teams, 5 to 6 percent on 15 teams.

Jeffrey Springs, RP, TB: Over the past few weeks, Springs has put in a very impressive role as a novice and longtime loyalist, posting a 3.00 ERA and 0.83 WHIP with 11 strikes and two hits over his past 12 runs. He’s been breathing (average 16.6 percent) and stalking (rate of 45.7 percent) at very high rates during that time, and this week, he’s starting to encounter miserable tigers. It is a must in deep tournaments.

Bidding: 1 to 2% in 15 teams.

Brooks Raley, RP, TB: I don’t expect Kevin Cash to walk away from his close commission, but Raleigh has arguably been the team’s best loyalist to date, transforming the Rays’ previous two saves. There’s not a lot to get you excited about the loyalist options in the deeper leagues, but if you’re looking to boost your team in the savings rankings, Raley is probably the best factor to speculate right now.

Bidding: 2 to 3 percent in 15-team leagues.

Noticeable: Season-to-date stats are for matches played through Thursday, May 12th.

Statistical Credits: FanGraphs, Baseball Savant, Baseball Reference

(Top photo: Matt Thomas/San Diego Padres/Getty Images)

Reply