Senators vs. Canadians Odds
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After ripping 8-2-1 under new coach Martin St. Louis, the Montreal Canadiens lost back-to-back competitions this week and are looking forward to Saturday’s right encounter against the Ottawa Senators.
Will Montreal be able to get back into the winning streak or will newfound success under St. Louis be just a flash in the pan? Let’s take a look at this match and see if we can find some value for the bet.
Ottawa’s 3-1 result over Philadelphia marked the club’s third win in its last 11 competitions. Considering some of the competition it’s facing, it’s certainly not a good commentary towards the format this group offers.
The Senators actually started life without defender Thomas Chabot, but were catching up with a Philadelphia team showing a bit of offensive prowess in a very fitting place. Going forward, this loss should cause problems for Ottawa with a lack of talent at the back end.
With Anton Forsberg playing against Philadelphia, we should see Philip Gustafson score a goal kick, which is another cause for concern. Gustavsson struggled to score -6.3 goals and saves above the expected rating with a 0.890 save percentage over 14 matches.
It would be fair to say that Monday’s 6-3 bombing of the Arizona Coyos was the worst performance seen from the Canadians during the St.
Overall, the Canadians looked like a whole new team under St. Louis. In their last 13 games, Montreal has scored a 8-3-2 record, with an expected goal average of 50.98. They’ve gone into a slight lull over the past week, but I’m still buying this shift.
I love this place for Montreal to find its way back into the winning column. With Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki leading the attack, the two Canadians found some scoring touch. And though the offense may not be overly deep, I like more of what they have to give in this respect than of the depleted Senators.
Jake Allen is likely to start after a reasonable return from injury Thursday against Dallas. Allen blocked 0.900% of directed shots, with -6.2 goals saved above the expected rating in 25 games.
Senators vs. Canadians Pick
As you might expect with the corpses out of the lineup and the talent left in hand, the Senators haven’t dominated aggressively lately. They put Philadelphia at a disadvantage with a rare win, but I still don’t feel confident in this team’s ability to win games at the moment.
Montreal has continued to play better under St. Louis, so I like the Canadians’ chances of getting back into the winning slot after a very reasonable performance against Dallas.
This is where I can see a level playing field, but I’m still willing to support the Canadians based on the ability of the current squads to finish and create scoring plays compared to the Senators.
At -140, I feel we have enough advantage to look at Montreal in that niche and I’ll back them up to -145 odds.
picking Montreal ML (-145 | Play to -155)
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