You can read previous installments of our potential notes here.
I modify lists of possibilities using the same complex assembly as usual, including notes from my personal appearances, source data, and opinions of professional scouts. The first is the Scottsdale-based squad of teams, focusing on the Giants due to their status as competitors, making them the team most motivated to drop expectations between now and the trade deadline. Players whose score has been changed in the future value have an “up” or “down” arrow in the “direction” column of the board.
I haven’t made many changes to the Arizona menu. Small-school Brandon Pvadt jumped past former Termats Blake Walston and Rain Nelson, and moved into the top 100. He’s throwing stronger hits than last year and working three pitches above average (or better) at Double-A Amarillo now the change has taken a step forward. Although his 2B/3B is below average, debutant Buddy Kennedy has had enough success to be considered a 1-WAR player, similar to Mike Brosseau. José Corba and Christian Montes de Oca were added to the list of organizations; Their reports can be found on the board. I also thought about adding the young adults Rael Santos and Diomede Sierra (all 20-21 and sitting 94 mph), but they were more likely to walk for that.
Christian Robinson played a few games during extended spring training, but it doesn’t look like he’ll play complex/associate ball during the regular season. Extended is not technically within the contracted definition of its function. This has been a pain point for minor league players in general, since they often engage in spring training, instruction or similar development activity and don’t get paid for it, but in Robinson’s circumstances, it was a loophole that enabled him to get a 2022 representative.
Of the group of 45 FV shooters in this system who have had mixed years, I’ve only positioned Tommy Henry (now 40 FV), who sits 91-92 mph and looks more like a fifth player than someone with the stuff needed to take the ball in a chain Comma, which Slade Ciccone and Bryce Jarvis feel are closer to ability even though they weren’t working in their personal prime (Jarvis was right before he was drafted, and he will be right after).
Ezequiel Tovar moves into the top 100 (awesome!). There is still a somewhat frightening amount of chase going on here, creating risks and ups even though Tovar is close to the big leagues, but he is a good enough defender to give himself some margin of error in this regard. He and Brayan Rocchio have similar skill sets, with Tovar beating Rocchio at the same level, thus placing the two on the world list.
Conversely, Adael Amador sets a track record early in his career for both above-average board discipline and contact in the area, but he falls short of staying short and could end up at second base. He jumps to the 45 FV class. The strength may not come true for him to be a regular player every game due to his lack of size, but he’s a skilled quarterback and at least a potential role player, and I’ve spoken to scouts who have a daily score on him.
Right-wing teen Victor Juarez only sits at 91 mph but splits the Cal League anyway. He moves up to level 40+ based on the strength of his sport and controls more than his current stuff, which has already slipped a bit since the early part of spring. Sam Weatherly (shoulder) recently rehabbed in Arizona sitting 92-94 mph, which is close enough to his pre-injury pace to not move him. Speaking of rehab, second-rounder Jaden Hill (who is knocked out by TJ) in 2021 is throwing the pens and could start playing within the next few weeks.
Brenton Doyle and Ryan Vilade are moving in this establishment. Doyle still has tremendous power, sportsmanship, and speed, but his swing is tricky now as he trails like a defensive player off the bench. Vilade somehow made it to just nine players in nearly 170 career matches in Triple-A, with half of those played in Albuquerque and many in Reno and Vegas. He has other basic/communication skills, but depending on where Vilade falls in the defensive spectrum, there should be more strength.
I have new notes on Brian Serven, Jake Bird, Luis Mendez and PJ Poulin on The Board.
San Francisco Giants
The Giants are starting to make better shooters at a rate that rivals other top baseball organizations. Based on my observations in Scottsdale during spring training and on its intricacies, they use Kinatrax to do real-time mechanical assessments and also (I believe) to find correctable deficiencies that they can correct with the player developer. This may be why the Giants seemingly make it a point to cycle between higher-level minor leagues who are squeezed or banned in other rosters, giving them a chance for a few weeks to see if meaningful changes can be made and quickly appear on the field. Often nothing checks out, but even one Anthony Disclavani would justify keeping a 40-man position or two in reserve for this type of activity.
This development approach is also collectively applied to their draft classes. As a result, we’re seeing rapid improvements in things, although not all of them last. Matt Olsen settled into junior college sports in the ’90s after throwing even more aggressively during the spring. Mason Black, although his overall quality of things deserves to go to the top of the list, he used to hit 100 mph during the spring but is more in the 93-95 range now. Landen Roupp, Jose Cruz, Ryan Walker and Gerelmi Maldonado are all new names here, with reports and scores on the board. Former trade piece Giancarlo Stanton Jorge Guzman was rehabbed at 98-100 mph in the pool last week; He, too, might be added. Eric Silva went from “sport sleeper” to one of the novices with the highest odds in the system, sitting 92-94 mph and driving five pitches.
Hunter Bishop is another swing changer of the season, and he’s now using at least his fourth different swing since he first arrived in Arizona. He’s done better since the change, which appears to have occurred during a four-day layoff in May (hit .244/.349/.415 since, having previously hit .169), but Bishop still made 31% Clip as a 24-year-old in A-ball. It still has the power of influence, but except during a pre-conference play in its draft year, it hasn’t had continued success as a possibility. The Giants took a well-founded gamble on his bullish side in the draft, but it didn’t work out. Being able to make several swing changes may mean that Bishop will eventually be able to make a mod that will help him find a viable sense of connection, which is why it remains on the list, but at this point he needs to slide.
Other additions here are Force/Speed Center field prospector Grant McCray, who himself has some hit risks, David Villar, and O’Neill Perez, all of whom have new reports on the board.