Philos Jones & Paige 25

With the 71st pick in the NFL Draft, Ryan Poles took a wide receiver (and he really is a return) from Tennessee. While Velus Jones posted a great time in the 40-yard dash, there is still plenty of evidence that speed in his gym shorts has a huge impact on a player’s professional success. To be fair, there is some limited data that get more chances of faster receptors and therefore produce more, but there is little evidence to suggest that even recipients benefit from being an additional tick faster than each other except in terms of chances. Article reviewed by colleagues at Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research He went so far as to conclude: “Using a correlation analysis, we did not find a consistent statistical relationship between pooled tests and professional football performance, with the notable exception of sprint tests of backward running.”

However, there is another number that has a proven track record of predicting whether or not one player will have a better career in the NFL than another age at the time of the draft. Velos Jones Rapid completes 25 weeks from the time of writing.

clear track record

One of the well-established facts of the draft is that enlistment age matters when it comes to overall production and career success in the NFL. Unlike many sticky and risky football study topics, this one is easily reduced to numbers (how old a player is) and then matched to a performance measure chosen by the analyst. One special study looks at first-round choices and overall career value, but there are other ways to study the same phenomenon. Players who are recruited when they are younger tend to perform better than those who are recruited when they are older.

The conventional wisdom for this is that exceptional athletes tend to excel early on, so the longer a player takes a year to break through or be ready to enlist, the lower their margin of advantage over other athletes. If a player doesn’t dominate their peers on the field, let alone those who have an extra year of muscular development and learn the rules of the game, what will happen when they hit the league and take on players longer to build strength and skill? Usually, by the time a player “realizes” in this regard, the negative effects of age begin to wear off on him as he competes against younger players who have already emerged.

Last draft date

There are exceptions like Cooper Kupp, who was recruited at 24 in the third round, but betting on a player turning into Cooper Kupp is probably not a safe investment. However, it is fair to ask whether the occupation-based data is distorted by the second decades. What if all we care about is whether or not a player will do well early on? Conveniently, I just finished compiling a database on the performance of newly drafted players, and while I sanitize the generic age tables for clarity, I never delete the data without having a backup.

Of the 220 broadband receivers drafted between 2011 and 2017, 87 were over the age of 22 at the time of the draft. There are marked differences in this population over their first five years in the NFL, and these differences range across all aspects of player contributions.

First, the group as a whole shows the variability of broad receptors as a class. Only 5% of wide receivers become superstars, earning two or more Pro Bowls. Twice as many influential rolls by playing at least forty games (including spending time as returners) and winning at least one Pro Bowl, but that’s still only 10% of the pool. They play in 38 games with an average of 18 games. Only 46 (21%) go on to start at least forty games – which may or may not matter to a specialist like Jones.

However, these numbers drop sharply when looking at receivers that were only formulated after the age of 22. Only 2% of this group became stars in their first five years, and only 5% became influential players. This is half the success rate as with the overall population. They only played 30 matches on average and only managed 11 starts. They were half the probability (11%) that the group would start in at least forty matches. Only fourteen players were drafted at the age of 24 or 25, and none other than Cooper Kupp ever won a Pro Bowl in their first five years. The average number of games they played dropped to 22, while the average number of games started at 10.

The four players who braved the odds after being recruited beyond 22 have similar traits. AJ Green, Michael Thomas, Cooper Kupp, and Kenny Golladay spent two full years of production in college. Thomas was the least productive college player of this group, who still had 110 receptions, 1,580 yards, and 18 touchdowns in his best two years of college. Interestingly enough, they were also relatively slow In the group, with Green being the fastest at 40 yards-dash (4.48) and the others lagging by varying degrees: Thomas (4.57), Kupp (4.62) and Golloday (4.5) were craftsmen who relied on full skill sets and not the Burners who counted on mismatches. materialistic.

Finally, because second contracts matter to some people, while 103 drafted recipients had a fifth year in the NFL (47%) and 131 had at least four years in the league (60%), only 29 of the drafted recipients saw The older group has a fifth year (33%), and only 44 have seen at least four years in the league (51%).


Velus Jones will likely provide the Chicago Bears with meaningful assets in this field. There are unique circumstances surrounding his draft status, including the impact of Covid-19 on an entire group of players. However, it’s worth noting that Jones was already nearing 23 and had already played for four years when the 2020 Combine became default due to the pandemic.

However, in the void, a player’s age at the time he first takes the field for an NFL team has a better track record when it comes to predicting his success compared to the time it takes to cover 120 feet.