Senator vs Rangers (9 April)

Senators vs. Rangers Odds

Elders’ odds +215
Rangers Odds -270
Above under 6 (-115 / -105)
time 7 p.m. Eastern time
television ESPN +
Chances are via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NHL Odds here.

Senators from Ottawa travel to New York to face the New York Rangers in a National Hockey League game on Saturday.

This will be the third meeting between these two teams, with a total of fewer than six goals landing in each of their previous two matches.

So, will we see another low-score relationship between these parties or could the scoring pick up this time around? Let’s take a look at this last match.

Ottawa Senators

The Senators enter this contest after Thursday’s 3-2 loss to the Nashville Predators. Having said that, I expect to see another low-scoring match for the Senators.

The main reason for this thinking is that Anton Forsberg is the expected primary goalkeeper for Ottawa and has been amazing as of late. Forsberg allowed three or fewer goals in nine successive runs, and scored an excellent save percentage of 0.925 during that run.

While some goalkeepers are struggling on the road, Forsberg’s numbers are actually growing further away from home, with 0.925 saves and 2.42 goals allowing an average on the road this season.

Perhaps Forsberg won’t get much help in front of him, as Ottawa’s team is only 22nd in the league at 5 goals to 5 goals per 60 minutes. In addition, Ottawa is missing some talented strikers, with Tim Stutzel and Drake Paterson expected to miss this competition.

Having a weak group in attack that already suffers from scoring is a dangerous recipe when facing Rangers and goalkeeper Igor Shesterkin.

New York Rangers

Rangers enter this game after Thursday’s 3-0 win over Pittsburgh. That competition was another low-goal competition for New York, which saw six or fewer goals scored in eight of its last 12 games.

These low-goal encounters are attributed to the efforts of the expected main goalkeeper Igor Shesterkin. I’ve written about Shesterkin extensively and have rarely been disappointed with my favorite Vezina Trophy.

This season, Shesterkin ranks first among goalkeepers in 5 vs 5 goals saved above expected per 60 minutes and save percentage with an excellent mark of 0.935. Shesterkin has been in great shape lately, allowing three or fewer goals in five consecutive games, including his elimination against Pittsburgh.

Shesterkin’s numbers are even better on the ice at home, boasting a clean keeping ratio of 0.940 and an average of 1.89 goals allowed in 25 starts at Madison Square Garden. In his first start against Ottawa, Shesterkin allowed one goal from 30 shots, which was a good 0.967 save.

New York Attack is created entirely on special teams, ranking only 28th in the league in 5 vs 5 predicted goals per 60 minutes. This could be a problem against an Ottawa team that is 12th in the league in penalty shootouts.

Rangers vs Senators Peak

Six or fewer goals have been scored in seven of the last eight meetings between these teams, so I’d love to see this trend continue. I feel comfortable supporting the expected goalkeepers, especially Chesterkin on the ice at home in New York.

I expect we’ll get other advanced lessons from him, as the Rangers look to maintain the momentum ahead of qualifying. I wouldn’t play with that total if it went down to 5.5 goals before the puck’s ball went down.

picking Total under 6 goals (-105 | Played up to -120)

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