It has always been difficult to identify Daniel Jones.
He was a top 10 draft pick who started his college career as a career. It’s built like a bystander but works like a scrambler. It’s Southern with the perfect New York mood.
So it should come as no surprise, then, that — despite all the talk of turning down the fifth-year option in Jones’ 2023 contract that doesn’t make sense for the Giants — there’s really no comparison worthy of his year-round status. Eight years into the history of teams that ruled a quarterback on the first deadline.
“Based on what he’s done so far, I’m not sure if he’s a quarterback at first if he’s in free agency,” a league source told The Post. “As an agent, you have to be honest with your client and hope they get a chance to change the narrative – and look at it as a league-wide audition. For the Giants, if he plays well and you have to franchise him in 2023, that’s a good problem.”
Since the NFL’s Rising Pay Scale and Fifth-Year Team option for first-round selection (decisions are made after three seasons) were implemented with the 2011 draft class, 25 decisions have been made for quarterbacks: fifteen teams exercised the option and 10 did not.
Assuming the Giants didn’t take the unexpected step of signing Jones for this off-season contract extension, two trends emerge that aren’t playing in his favour: Neither team has regretted turning down the fifth-year option later. And no quarterback who played in the final year of his contract – whether it was year four when the option was turned down or year five when he exercised without an extension – has received a second contract as a start.
The Giants have until early May to decide whether to exercise Jones’ option for the fifth year and fully guarantee him $21.3 million — a 156 percent increase over his $8.3 million salary cap he reached in 2022 — or reject the option and force Jones to play to earn his salary. . The next decade is 2022.
Here’s a closer look at the history:
I refused the options
Of the 10 quarterback players whose options were denied, five — Blaine Jabert, Brandon Wyden, Jonny Manzel, Paxton Lynch and Josh Rosen — had been traded or released by the time the decision was due, which does not apply to Jones. Four of those five made fewer than five career starts after their fourth season in the NFL, including two who were eliminated from the league after two seasons.
However, there are less extreme methods.
Jake Locker started his fourth season as a start – just as Jones had expected with the Giants – but his career story (injury and contradiction) went on and he retired the following March. Christian Bonder started his fourth season as a third stringer and later became a day-tripper out of the league after six seasons. EJ Manuel was a third player in his third season after which he was cut twice.
Teddy Bridgewater’s option was turned down as he recovered from a career-threatening leg injury. Jones’ neck injury is not considered in that area. Bridgewater missed nearly two full seasons for the Vikings but has since started 35 games with other teams.
The option is exercised, not extended
Six midfielders saw their option exercised without signing an extension after three or four seasons. Currently, the group includes Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold and Lamar Jackson, all of whom are set to be starters in 2022 on the option.
The two top picks in the 2015 NFL Draft – James Winston and Marcus Mariota – are the only ones who did what those three first-round picks in 2018 might have to do… and what Jones could be asked to do in 2023. He didn’t get Neither of them are on an extension under pressure — Winston led the NFL in interceptions and Mariota lost his first job to Ryan Tanehill — and both went down elsewhere to become reserves in the second decades.
Robert Griffin III has ended up in a loophole ever since. The previous year’s rookie option to attack was exercised by Washington when the salary was only guaranteed against injury, and then he was released without payment after spending most of his fourth season as a third. This rule change, which fully guarantees options, is detrimental to Jones’ condition.
The least likely scenario is for Jones to follow the path of the six quarterbacks who signed lucrative extensions after three seasons. Three others were re-signed after four seasons, making the choice moot.
The Giants’ fear, of course, is that they’re making the wrong decision and all of this taps Jones elsewhere. But that only happened once – when Taneyhill signed an extension after three seasons, the Dolphins decided to move on after six seasons and found unexpected stardom with the Titans.
So, what is Jones’ best place on the spectrum?
Mitch Trubisky’s option was denied by the Bears in 2020 – the last year before the options were entirely foolproof – despite a more accomplished three-year resume (Pro Bowl selection, playoff berth and 23-18 score) than Jones (12-25). , no playoffs). Tropsky’s fourth season began with a thrashing of veteran contender (Nick Foles) and he spent his fifth season as a billing backup under new Giants general manager Joe Schoen and new coach Brian Dabol. Now, Trubisky is looking to start a job at a free agency.
Trubisky will likely follow two former Bills players (Jake Fromm and Davis Webb) to the Giants as Jones’ main rivals. Wouldn’t that be ironic?